MRPNL

Profit Factor

Gross winning trades divided by gross losing trades. A profit factor above 1.5 indicates a reliable positive edge.

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Formula

Profit Factor = Gross Profit / Gross Loss

Profit factor divides total profit from winning trades by the total loss from losing trades. A profit factor of 1.0 is break-even; below 1.0 is a losing system; 1.5–2.0+ is considered a robust edge.

Unlike expectancy, profit factor requires no knowledge of win rate or average win/loss separately — it is a single number that collapses everything. It is also robust to outliers, since a single massive winner inflates the numerator transparently.

Example

Over 50 trades: winners totalled $8,400; losers totalled $4,200. Profit factor = $8,400 / $4,200 = 2.0. For every dollar lost, the system makes two back. Strong edge.

#metrics#performance#strategy

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